This Sunday will be a good one with the ravens and the chiefs one of the teams will go down to 1-3, and the first international game Vikings vs Steelers, and a Micah Parsons revenge game. These are my Week 3 Sunday predictions.
Vikings vs Steelers: To start let’s focus on the Vikings defense vs Aaron Rodger’s. Last week the Vikings allowed 140 yds, a TD and 2 interceptions. Last week Aaron Rodger’s had 139 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and an interception. That was against a patriots defense. Now going against a healthy Vikings defense Aaron Rodger’s is in store for most likely his worst game of the year.
Next I wanna talk about Isiah Rodger’s vs these Steelers defenses. Last week Isiah Rodger’s earned a 99.2 rating on PFF for coverage. This week depending on who he is covering Dk Metcalf may have another bad game. To make it worse for the Steelers offense the Vikings had ten Qb hits and 4 sacks so Rodger’s won’t be able to get passes off as effectively. Carson Wentz had a great game having 2 TDs and Carson had a 120+ passer rating. Last week against the Patriots the Steelers allowed 268 yds and 2 TDs to Drake Maye so Carson Wentz is in for another good game.
Prediction: Vikings 34, Steelers 13
Jaguars vs 49ers: The firs5 thing I want to talk about is the 49ers pass rush vs the Jaguars offensive line. Last game the 49ers allowed 106 rushing yards to the cardinals running backs, while on the other hand against a great Texans defense Travis Eittene only had 56 yards but only ran 16 times. This week feels like a good game for Travis Eittene to light it up. The jaguars offensive line was great last week only allowing sacks twice out of 40 pass attempts, while the 49ers only had one sack on 35 pass attempts vs the Cardinals. This is great for Trevor Lawrence but the Jacksonville wide receivers have to step up. Brian Thomas Jr only had 2 catches but it was an affective 55 yards. Brenton Strange had an awesome game with 6 catches for 61 yards but for the Jaguars to get rolling Thomas and Hunter will have to step up.
On the other side of the ball last week the jaguars defense had 2 interceptions and for a returning Brock Purdue this could be a defense that would be hard to return too. Luckily for him he has Ricky Pearsall who has been awesome this year and is on pace for 1500+ yards.
Prediction: 49ers 17, Jaguars 21
Chargers vs Giants: This one may seem over before it started but we still need to get into it. Justin Herbert passed for 300 yards and a TD last week against a great Broncos Defense and this week they face a giants defense who just let up 224 yards and a score to Mahomes. **Hot take* Justin Herbert will be the QB one in fantasy this week** Now about the Giants pass rush with Brian Burns who has at least a sack in every game. Last week the Chargers let up 5 sacks and this Giants pass rush I like with Brian Burns, Bobby Okeroke, and Dexter Lawrence.
Last week the Giants let up 5 yards a carry to Isiah Pacheco, so this week Omarion Hampton might be in store for another good game. On the other side of the ball, last week the Giants were one for ten on third down and this year the chargers defense have been great on third downs and last week the broncos were only 2-10. The Giants won’t be able to drive the ball and to be honest they might not score a touchdown on Sunday. Cam Skattebo was awesome last week receiving and rushing but this week might be worse because the chargers allow the 9th least yards per carry.
Prediction: Chargers 27, Giants 6
Bills vs Saints: This year the bills average 34 points per game and the saints allow 30 points per game so this will be a high scoring game for the bills. Last week the Saints allowed Sam Darnold to have one of the highest QB ratings and if they can do that to Darnold then they will struggle against Josh Allen. But in the running game the Saints allow the 6th least yards per carry but the Bills are 8th in rushing yards per carry. We will see how James Cook will do against the saints. On the other side of the ball the Saints dont really have a great offense, and the saints average 15 points per game and the bills only allow 21 a game.
Prediction: Bills 38, Saints 10
Eagles vs Buccaneers: Last week against the rams Jalen hurts had 226 yards and 3 TDs and this week he looks to do it all over again. The Eagles have been phenomenal in the red zone this year being 100% and the buccaneers are going to have to do a lot to stop the the Eagles from constantly scoring. On the other side of the ball the Buccaneers i fell like are a bit overrated when it comes to offense. They have yet to hit 24 points this year. Last week against the Rams they let up lots of scores but still they only allowed 1-4 in the redzone, and this year the Eagles are 4th in redzone defense. This year Baker averages 99 QBR but the Eagles against QBs like Stafford, Mahomes and Prescott they haven’t allowed a QB to get over 85 QBR. This season Bucky Irving averages 4.5 yards per carry and the Eagles allow the 5th most yards per carry so Bucks Irving is expected to explode.
Prediction: Eagles 34, Buccaneers 20
Titans vs Texans: The Titans defense has not been good at all this year. They allow the 3rd most rushing yards per game this year and they allow the 10th most passing yards a game. Although the Texans haven’t reached 20 points this year and CJ stroud is sub-20th in passing yards.
The titans are last in the league in sacks taken being sacked 5 times a game and this is great for Will Anderson who has had a sack in each game. The Texans haven’t allowed more than 21 points this year and they didn’t allow a TD pass last week.
Prediction: Texans: 24, Titans: 17
Falcons vs Commanders: Last week Michael Penix threw 2 interceptions and had a 40.5 QBR. This week may be a good week possibly because the Commanders this year have allowed the 9th most passing yards per game. This year the Falcons allow the 4th least sacks but Washington is 6th in sacks per game. Last week Bijan had 5.5 YPC and Nathan Carter had 7 carries for 46 yards. Theses are some good RB performances but the last 2 primary running backs the commanders faced they haven’t allowed more than 3.7 YPC.
No matter what QB plays the Falcons will more than likely crush them. Last week they only allowed 121 yards to Bryce Young and they destroyed JJ McCarthy in week 2.
Prediction: Commanders 23, Falcons 7
Patriots vs Panthers: Drake Maye be the best offensive player for the patriots, (you get what I did there) but they face a Panthers defense who last week allowed a 40 QBR and they got 2 interceptions. Hunter Henry was awesome last week with 8 catches and 90 yards and 2 TDs. This year the Panthers are the 24th Tight end defense so the Drake Maye be in some trouble without their #1 pass catcher this year.
The patriots defense this year hasn’t allowed more than 22 points this year but it only has been the dolphins, Steelers, and raiders. Even while saying that it is the Panthers this week so my bet is another sub-22.
Prediction: Patriots 14, Panthers 17
Bears vs Raiders: Yes the Bears receivers did great last week with Luther Burden, Rome Odunze, and Dandre swift combining for 208 receiving yards but it was all really just big plays because they had just 3 catches each. That doesn’t mean it’s necessarily luck. Last week Dandre Swift had a bad rushing game with only 33 yards and 2.5 YPC. This week he is facing a raiders defense who allows 4.5 YPC this year. Gino Smith has been awesome this year being top 3 in passing yards. This year Las Vegas is bottom 5 in redzone percentage and this isn’t good knowing that the bears only allowed 1-4 in the redzone last week.
This year the Bears are 31st in the leauge in YPC allowed and with a struggling Ashton Jeanty this will be a test if he can really live up to the expectations.
Prediction: Bears 24, Raiders 13
Browns vs Lions: The lions are third in the league in points per game with 34 but the Cleveland Browns only allowed 22 points per game and especially 10 to a team the blew out the commanders and lions. This year the Browns allow the least yards per game but we will see if they can do it again against Jared Goff who has had a 100+ QBR last 3 games. The browns have 11 sacks this year so this defense is not to mess with.
Last week David Montgomery had 12.6 yards per carry but the Browns are 1st in the leauge in YPC allowed. And they only allowed 1.9 YPC to Josh Jacob’s. Both Gibbs and Montgomery will have a tough time getting going. But the Browns offense still may lead them to another loss not having more than 18+ points per game. Last week the Lions had 7 sacks so it will be tough for Joe Flacco to find any receivers quickly.
Prediction: Lions 20, Browns 3
Colts vs Rams: Jonathon Taylor has had a great season so far leading the league in rushing yards but the Rams are definitely a team that could stop him. Last week to Saquon Barkley they allowed only 46 yards and 2.6 YPc. The Colts offensive line had been great this year only allowing 2 sacks but the Rams on the other hand average 4 sacks per game. Last week the Colts gave up 219 and a TD to Cam Ward so if the Colts can allow that to Cam and the Eagles allow 189 to Stafford, Matt Staff may be in for a great game. This year Kyren Williams has had 66+ rushing yards in every game and Blake Corum has been insane this year having 6.6 YPC last game, and 8.8 YPC in week 2, and to make matters worse for the Colts they have allowed the 8th most YPC to running backs this year.
Prediction: Rams 31, Colts 24
Packers vs Cowboys: I 100000% would not panic over last week for the packers. Not even close. If you read my stats up there for Lions vs Browns the Browns defense is the real deal. But on to the cowboys. The Packers have all the business in the world to destroy the Cowboys. The Cowboys have let up more than 31+ points to the Bears and the Giants so dont be surprised if the Packers put up 40 points and Jordan Love becomes the 4th NFC North Qb to win NFC offensive player of the week. The Packers haven’t allowed more than 19 points this year to any team and that’s saying something after playing the Commanders and Lions. This year the Packers defense haven’t allowed more than 77 QBR so Dak Prescott being pressured my Micah and other AND he doesn’t have Ceedee. This might be the blowout of the week
Prediction: Packers 47, Cowboys 10
Bengals vs Broncos: With Jake Browning vs the Vikings defense the Bengals only scored 10 points are were 3-11 on third downs. This week they face an even tougher defense in the Broncos who have allowed 23+ points in back to back game but it was against teams like the Chargers and the undefeated colts. This year the Broncos have not allowed a QB to get over 80 QBR and against Jake Browning this week that doesn’t seem to change. The best stat though to me is out of 47 passes last week the Broncos had 5 sacks and 14 QB hits and for a Bengals offensive line that has allowed 10 sacks this year and needs some work, this is trouble. Chase Brown has not been great this year only having 2.5 yards per carry. The Broncos have allowed under 4 YPC 2 out of 3 games this year.
Prediction: Bengals 14, Broncos 27
Dolphins vs Jets: The Jets last week let up 233 yards and 101.7 QBR touchdowns Baker Mayfield so how will they do against Tua? Last week Tua had 134 yards and 2 TDs and an interception , so this game may be up in the air for Tua. The Jets defense hasn’t been so bad this year only allowing 22 points to a great Buccaneers offense and 7 of those points was a pick 6 that Tyrol Taylor threw. The jets have taken 8 sacks in the last two games and the dolphins defense averages 2 sacks a game so Tyrod may be under lots of pressure .
Prediction: Jets 20, Dolphins 23
Chiefs vs Ravens: Lamar Jackson in his career is 1-5 vs Mahomes and 0-3 at Arrowhead, so Lamar and the Ravens will need to find a a way to get over the hump. Mahomes this year has had a sub 90 QBR and that’s including against a bad Giants defense. Against the Giants the Chiefs only had 22 points and haven’t had 23 points yet. The Ravens could get a key win because they have the highest average PPG in the NFL and have over 38 2 out of 3 games. The Ravens allowed 229 rushing yards last game and 6 YPC so Isiah Pacheco who has struggled a bit may have his break out game if Madubuike doesn’t play. The chiefs allowed only 160 yards and 2 INTs vs Russel Wilson and for Lamar who has had 128+ QBR this year, and is coming off a 288 yards and 3 TD game….. Well I mean I can’t compare Lamar to Russel Wilson.
Ravens 31, Chiefs 27