Dolphins vs Falcons
This year the Dolphins are one of the bad teams but they aren’t #1 pick bad even though they lost by 30 to the Browns. Yes it is bad that they are 7th worst in yards per game, and 8th worst in points per game, but it could be worse for an offense with Tua at QB and without Tyreek Hill. Bijan Robinson has led this Falcons offense being one of the most effective running backs in the league being 3rd in rushing yards per game, and he should have his best game of the season against the Dolphins. The Dolphins defense is the worst rushing defense in yards allowed, and they are the 4th worst overall defense vs running backs. Bijan should have a great game and should the Falcons as a team. The Falcons are projected to win by two scores and the Dolphins have kept some games close, but yet are still the 4th worst team in point margin, so I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a blowout.
Prediction: Falcons 30, Dolphins 13
Bears vs Ravens
Chicago has the 8th most rushing yards per game and Kyle Monangi has really found his groove recently and with an atrocious Ravens defense he could have another great game. The Ravens are the 7th worst rushing defense this year so we will see if Kyle can keep it going. Lamar is supposed to return this week but he hasn’t been great while playing, being 22nd in NFL passing yards per game. Lamar’s return is great for Zay Flowers. Without Lamar Zay averages 5 targets per game and 59 yards. With Lamar he averages 8 targets and 76 yards. Zay Flowers what’s been a great receiver and the return of Lamar will only help him. The Bears are 12th in yards per game and 10th in points per game and Caleb may have another great game against a bad Baltimore defense who are bottom 5 in passing yards allowed and the Bears will have an explosive offensive outing as a team, because Baltimore is last in the league in points allowed per game. Chicago is 4-2 this year and it is mainly because they run a lot being 4th in the league in run%. If they can keep running they will win this game
Prediction: Bears 30, Ravens 24
Bengals vs Jets
The Bengals have extra rest coming into this one, and they are at home so the advantage is with the Bengals. The Jets offense will be better with Tyrod Taylor. In Tyrod Taylor’s only start he didn’t play bad against a great Buccaneers defense, having about 200 passing yards, completed 72% of passes and he threw 2 touchdowns. Now he gets to face a Bengals defense that is 3rd worst in passing yards allowed and they allow the 2nd most points per game. Even though the Jets are 0-7 they have flat out looked better than the Bengals. Cincinnati just looks bad as a offense being 2nd worst in offensive yards and 2nd worst in defensive yards while the Jets are still 4th worst in offense but they are in the top half in the league when it comes to defense. Joe Flacco looked awesome last week with 300+ passing yards against a Steelers defense who allows the 2nd most passing yards per game. The Jets allow the 9th least passing yards, and for Flacco who only had 0 touchdowns and 140 yards against a 15th best against the pass packers he may do worse against the Jets. This game will prove a lot of things for the Bengals. If they play the same as last week they may be a playoff contender with a winning record but if they play bad there season is over. So far I have been in favor in the Jets a lot. But one thing is having me lean towards the Bengals. Garret Wilson is out. Garret Wilson has the 2nd highest target share in the league so Tyrod Taylor is going to have Josh Reynolds’s to throw to who’s highest receiving game is 29 yards. This will be a tough game for the Jets offense. The Bengals were already the 11th best defense vs WR so how the heck can Tyrod Taylor get going? The Jets may be 0-7 but there average score margin is losing by 7 points so they will keep this close against a bengals team who’s point differential is losing by 11.
Prediction: Bengals 20, Jets 16
Panthers vs Bills
The Bills allow the most yards per rush in the NFL, and Carolina is top 10 in rush yards per attempt. Rico Dowdle this year is top 5 in rushing yards per game, but Chuba Hubbard only has 49 rush yards per game. If Rico Dowdle’s good games weren’t a fluke then he should destroy the Bills defense, and the Panthers should make this a close game. The Panthers rebuild seems to be working so far, and the Bills Super Bowl year has gone down in shambles. Both teams have changed a lot since the start of the season so most stats you would have to use as recent. In the last 3 games The bills are middle of the league in point differential, being on average losing by 3. The Panthers on the other hand, are 12th best on average winning by 4. Here’s where the Bills have the advantage: The Bills are coming off a bye and Bryce Young is out. In the last 3 games the Bills are top 10 in passing yards allowed and throughout the season they are 2nd. This will be such a tough game for Andy Dalton but we will see. The Bills offense has relied on Josh Allen way too much and he is 18th in passing yards and has only had over 250 passing yards once. He needs to step up if the Bills want to win a Super Bowl. Another advantage is the Panthers are 3-0 at home, and the Bills are 1-1 away. 1 loss doesn’t seem like a lot but that is 50% of their losses. The Panthers have a 3 game winning streak but with Andy Dalton that won’t happen, but they can keep it close.
Prediction Panthers 23, Bills 28
49ers vs Texans
The Texans have been the better team all year despite the record. The 49ers may average more yards per game but Houston allows less yards, scores more per game, and allows the least points per game in the league. The Texans may be the better team but somehow the 49ers are winning games and Houston is losing them. But Houston is trending up recently and the 49ers are trending down. In the last 3 games the Texans win by 17 on average, and the 49ers lose by 1 on average. The Texans can really prove something with a win but if it’s another loss then they can’t beat good teams and they probably won’t make the playoffs. I don’t care what anybody says about Christian McCaffery he has the most rushing attempts in the league, but yet is 12th in rushing yards. He is 15th in rushing yards per game and, he is 146th in yards per carry. Some people are putting this guy top 5 running back somehow. In Kittle’s two games he averages 13 yards and 2 catches, and even though the Texans have the 3rd hardest tight end defense this should be his breakout game but don't think it will be anything great. The 49ers are coming into a away game, which they are 3-1 in including beating the Rams. Mac Jones will make another start, but he hasn’t been playing bad at all this year being top 5 in the league in passing yards per game. We have been waiting for the Texans to have there breakout game for so long but it seems we will never get one. If this can’t be it than changes will have to be made in the future. The 49ers are coming off a sloppy win so here’s my prediction.
Prediction: Texans: 23, 49ers 17
Patriots vs Browns
This game may seem over before it started because the Patriots have scored 23 or more every game except for one, and the Browns have scored under that every game except for against a bad Dolphins team. The Patriots are 6th best in point differential this year winning by 7 on average, while the Browns are bottom 10, losing by 6 on average. You need a good QB to win games, and the Patriots definitely have that. Maye is top 10 in yards, and touchdowns, and he is top 5 in QBR, and top 5 in MVP odds. When it comes to MVP people, need to use the valuable more. If Drake Maye wasn’t on the Patriots they would be horrible. He is very valuable to the Patriots, and he is the reason they are winning.Cleveland looked to have a dominant defense and offense last week but that was Miami. The Patriots average more yards and points, and allow less points and yards then the Dolphins do, so the run will come to an end. Mike Vrabel this year is a coach of the year candidate, while on the other hand Kevin Stefanski’s job is on the line. Coaching is a key reason to win games, and the Patriots definitely have that over the Browns. Clearly this year the Browns defense is the best in the league and at this point I’ve said stats who much I don’t even need any stats anymore to prove how good of a defense they are. That is Cleveland’s only hope to win the game, but New Englands defense will hold the Browns offense so far back it’s already over. The Browns have the number one pass rush win rate defense which will hold Drake Maye, knowing that the Patriots are bottom half in the league in pass blocking.
Prediction: Patriots 28, Browns 10
Giants vs Eagles
This is a divisional matchup so you never know, as the Giants crushed the Eagles earlier this year. The Giants are a better team than the Eagles right now. In the last 3 games the Giants are a top 10 team in points, while the Eagles are bottom 10. Yet again for yards per game the Giants are top 10 in yards per game and the Eagles are 11th worst. The Giants overall are just the better offense than the Eagles, and being honest they should win this game. The Eagles do have a large advantage coming into this game. The Giants are 0-4 in away games and the Eagles are 3-1 at home. I don’t know if the Giants can win an away game especially in Philadelphia. The Giants have had 4th quarter defensive struggles this entire year allowing the 4th most 4th quarter points, but they don’t have to worry against and Eagles team that averages the least 4th quarter points. No matter what happens this game will be close, as the Eagles are bottom 10 in the league in point margin. The Giants may be 2-5 but coming into the season they had the hardest strength of schedule, and they haven’t been playing bad so don’t be surprised if a 2-5 team beats the Eagles again. The Eagles receivers played awesome last week against a Vikings secondary that is top 10 against WRs. Now they face the Giants who have the 4th worst defense vs WR, and on the other side, the Eagles are top 20 against WRs, and the Giants receiving core isnt one to be proud of.
Prediction: Giants 28, Eagles 30
Buccaneers vs Saints:
Baker Mayfield has had MVP hopes all season being top 7 in yards, and touchdowns but a bad game against Detroit changed things. Now he will most definitely bounce back against a Saints defense that is bottom 10 against QBs. This game doesn’t have to be close either, as the Saints on average lose by double digits which is bottom 10 in the league. The injury of Mike Evans doesn’t have to change much, as Emeka Egbuka was already a league leader in target share, and he is top 10 in yards, and touchdowns. The Buccaneers getting crushed by Detroit is fine, because the Lions were already a top Super Bowl candidate. The Buccaneers are still the team to watch out for in the NFC and the Saints are already out and aren’t fighting for much except for the #1 pick. The Buccaneers are fighting fore something which will give them motivation to win the game. The Saints are bottom 5 in points and yards, and bottom 10 in points allowed and that all I need to make this prediction.
Buccaneers 27, Saints 16
Colts vs Titans:
Do I need to say anything? The Colts are number one in points, point margin, yards, they have the coach of the year, offensive player of the year, comeback player of the year, rookie of the year, and the Titans don’t have a coach. It is a divisional game though so it will be really close.
Predictions: Colts 43, Titans 20